Regime
Bull regime20 Aug 2026Auto-refresh

Bull

Qualified bull. Cap the sleeve at 2×.

Votes
3 / 4
Implied cap
Close
69,361.70
6M return
+2.04%

3-of-4 vote board

4/4 → 3× · 3/4 → 2× · 0–2 → flat

  1. 01Pass
    Close > SMA200
    Faber 200-day trend gate
    69,361.70 vs 68,996.91
  2. 02Fail
    SMA50 > SMA200
    Intermediate trend structure
    64,213.23 vs 68,996.91
  3. 03Pass
    6M return > 0
    180-day time-series momentum
    +2.04%
  4. 04Pass
    SMA111 < 2× SMA350
    Pi Cycle not overheated
    67,597.86 vs 164,658.94

BTCUSDT daily

2026-08-20O 69335H 69895L 68902C 693623/4 bull
Top · kline + SMAs, green/red regime washMiddle · 180D return %Bottom · vote count, dashed line at 3

Filter-defined regimes

60% of days in bull · 16 runs

RegimeStartEndDaysPeriod returnEnd close
Bull · now19 Aug 20262026-08-202+0.04%69,362
Non-bull11 Nov 202518 Aug 2026281-37.20%64,725
Bull22 Apr 202510 Nov 2025203+13.45%106,011
Non-bull7 Apr 202521 Apr 202515+10.55%87,516
Bull14 Oct 20246 Apr 2025175+18.68%78,430
Non-bull10 Aug 202413 Oct 202465+3.20%62,870
Bull17 Oct 20239 Aug 2024298+114.25%60,838
Non-bull12 Sep 202316 Oct 202335+10.30%28,501
Bull29 Jan 202311 Sep 2023226+5.98%25,163
Non-bull14 Jan 202228 Jan 2023380-46.53%23,023
Bull1 Oct 202113 Jan 2022105-11.59%42,560
Non-bull20 Sep 202130 Sep 202111+1.88%43,824
Bull15 Sep 202119 Sep 20215-1.83%47,242
Non-bull19 Jun 202114 Sep 202188+32.77%47,112
Bull21 May 202018 Jun 2021394+294.99%35,820
Non-bull25 Mar 202020 May 202057+42.44%9,511

Regime desk · BTCUSDT daily · Binance BTCUSDT · auto-refreshes